Transformative AI Economic Risks

Join CARMA’s Geostrategic Dynamics team as a Senior Economist, leading research into how advanced AI systems will reshape global economic systems, power structures, and societal outcomes. This intellectually autonomous role focuses on developing models and analyses to anticipate and mitigate systemic economic risks associated with transformative AI, including labor market disruptions, economic instability, and shifting power dynamics. You will collaborate with a multidisciplinary group of experts, providing vital insights to guide policy and support global AI risk management efforts.

Key Responsibilities

• Develop economic models to forecast novel risks and vulnerabilities from advanced AI.
• Build scenarios for economic disruptions, such as labor displacement, deflation, and market concentration.
• Analyze AI-driven productivity changes and their impact on inequality and economic structures.
• Identify early warning indicators for economic instability, financial system shocks, and declining living standards.
• Communicate complex risk analyses to policymakers, multilateral institutions, and stakeholders.
• Collaborate with interdisciplinary teams to integrate economic perspectives into AI safety research.

Required Skills & Qualifications

• Advanced degree (PhD preferred) in Economics, with expertise in labor and international economics.
• Proven ability to rethink economic models in response to paradigm shifts.
• Strong research record demonstrating original thinking on systemic economic risks.
• Comfort with uncertainty and modeling novel phenomena with limited data.
• Excellent written communication, able to convey complex concepts to non-specialists.
• Demonstrated interest in AI’s systemic risks and implications.
• Familiarity with US/EU policy landscapes and basic international relations.
• Systems thinking and critical evaluation of economic theories.
• Preferred: Training in econometrics, coding proficiency (Python, R, or Rust), experience with policy or multilateral institutions, macroprudential analysis, scenario planning, political economy, and behavioral economics.